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27 February, 2025

2025 GERMAN FEDERAL ELECTION - RESULT

Federal elections were held in Germany to elect the 630 members of the 21st Bundestag. The election took place seven months ahead of schedule due to the 2024 collapse of the incumbent governing coalition. Following the loss of its majority, the government called and intentionally lost a motion of confidence in order to facilitate an early election. This was the fourth early election in the post-war German history, and the first since 2005.

Germans get two votes; a "first vote" for a constituency candidate and a "second vote" for a party. The second, more significant, vote determines the percentage of seats each party gets in the Bundestag. Because parties who do not win 5% of this vote or win three constituency seats are excluded, actual share of seats is usually a little higher for the parties that do qualify.

The results were as follows:-


  Note 1: FDP failed to make the 5% cut and lost all their seats
  Note 2: There were over two dozen smaller parties who all failed to make the 5% cut except                 South Schleswig Voters Association, who held their seat at Constituency top-up.
  Note 3: Populist-Left BSW - widely tipped to break-through, failed at its first attempt.


The previous Coalition contained as it's three main parties the SPD as the lead, CDU/CSU and the Greens as the other big pillars along with the FDP to make the weight.  The new coalition will consist of the CDU/CSU as the lead, with the SPD & the Greens as the main pillars.  In other words, all this has achieved is a slight re-arrangement of the deckchairs on the Titanic that is the German economy.   Very quickly,  the Germans are going to realise that voting broadly the same way only gets the same result.   Germany is locked into its worst economic downturn since the 1929 crash, with literally no idea how to get out of it.   

Younger voters are now so disillusioned with the political orthodoxy,  that the populist -Right AfD and the far-Left Linke, were the two largest parties amongst the 18-25 age group taking nearly half the vote between them, with AfD taking a quarter of the vote from 18-59, with the largest share of the 25-44 year olds.






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