The Republicans have won control of the Presidency, both Houses of Congress and the majority of Governorships. They also won the popular vote. In addition, they already hold a majority in the Supreme Court.
OVERVIEW OF RESULTS
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Electoral College
Donald Trump/JD Vance (Rep) - 312 Electoral College votes. (2020 - 232)
Kamala Harris/Tim Walz (Dem) - 226 Electoral College votes. (2020 - 306)
Donald Trump elected as the 47th President of the United States.
JD Vance elected Vice-President.
Popular Vote
Republicans: 75,883,991 (50.18%) (2020 - 74,223,975 46.8%)
Democrats: 72,873,600 (48.19%) (2020 - 81,283,501 51.3%)
Democrats: 72,873,600 (48.19%) (2020 - 81,283,501 51.3%)
13 Independents: 2,462,047 (1.63%)
Turn-Out 64.5% (2020 - 66.6%)
Turn-Out 64.5% (2020 - 66.6%)
HOUSES OF CONGRESS
House of Representatives (435 seats)
This is the Lower House. Members serve a fixed term of two years, with each seat up for election before the start of the next Congress. Special elections also occur when a seat is vacated early
This is the Lower House. Members serve a fixed term of two years, with each seat up for election before the start of the next Congress. Special elections also occur when a seat is vacated early
Republicans: 218
Democrats: 213
Unfilled: 4
House of Senate (100 seats)
Democrats: 213
Unfilled: 4
House of Senate (100 seats)
This is the Upper House. Each of the 50 states is represented by two senators who serve staggered six-year terms.
Republicans: 52
Democrats: 47
Independent: 1 (sits with Democrats)
Governors
Democrats: 47
Independent: 1 (sits with Democrats)
Governors
The United States has 50 states and 5 territories that each elect a governor to serve as Chief Executive of the state or territorial government - in essence, a de facto local President. The sole federal district, the District of Columbia (DC), elects a mayor to oversee their government in a similar manner.
Republicans: 27
New Progressive: 1 (Puerto Rico) (sits with Republicans)
Independent: 1 (North Mariana Islands) (sits with Republicans)
Democrats: 26
This represents a resounding rejection of the modern middle-class metropolitan-liberal Democrat ideologies. What is particularly stinging them is the Republican vote amongst BAME sections has increased and the female vote remained unscathed - meaning that voters soundly rejected the Democrat accusations of inherent Republican racism and misogyny and on racism and feminism. Voters have outright rejected the woke agenda, gender issues, critical race theory and all the other junk and bollocks they have been pushing for the last 4 years. Even among the Democrat faithful, these are not widely supported issues and it would be fair to say that a significant proportion of Democrats regard such stuff as nonsense and self-indulgent student politics - and you are not going to win an election if large numbers of your own voters thing you are talking shite.
The Democrats hamstrung themselves from Day 1. It was brutally apparent to the Democrat voters that Harris inherited the mantle from Biden by deliberately keeping Biden in place until it was too late to run a leadership contest (which Harris would have lost) and thus inheriting the crown by default - which many Democrat voters and power blocs - particularly the unions, regarded as a 'fix' by the party elite. Harris was also in the unenviable position that because she had been Biden's Vice, she could hardly now position herself away from his policies - policies that she had supported for the last 4 years.
The Democrats seemed surprised at the final results despite the fact that the weekly polling averages had indicated this for over 5 weeks (they - like many others, tended to cherry-pick polls favourable to themselves. That is the actions of a halfwit. You need to gather every poll released in a week or whatever period, no matter how weird, and average them). They actually have only themselves to blame. They fielded a highly inarticulate candidate who presented poorly at interview, who struggled from Day 1 to put together a coherent position on anything other than she wasn't Trump.
An interesting factoid is that in almost every state the Democrats won, there was no requirement for voter ID whereas in virtually every state the Republicans won, there was a requirement for either photo ID or some other acceptable form. The regulations concerning postal votes/early votes were also stricter in Republican-won states. Interestingly, the Democrat vote plummeted in their 'safe states' but held up relatively well in the others whereas what Trump appears to have done is concentrated his main effort in areas he could 'flip' in order to maximise the impact of the Republican vote. This is resurrecting and fuelling conspiracy theories that the 2020 election was rigged by the Democrats. This is being further re-inforced in that it appears the total number of registered voters has fallen, possibly because of the requirement in so many states for some form of ID to register.
One bizarre story I have read is that turnout amongst college-educated younger voters appears to have fallen caused by signature variation. To register to vote in the US you have to sign the Electoral Register and when you vote, you have to sign again and both signatures must match. The theory doing the rounds is that college-educated young Americans rarely write anymore - most of what they do is on computers, laptops etc etc and as a result, they are unable to reproduce their own signatures accurately if they are several years apart. It will be interesting to monitor this to see if it's true or an urban myth.
New Progressive: 1 (Puerto Rico) (sits with Republicans)
Independent: 1 (North Mariana Islands) (sits with Republicans)
Democrats: 26
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
This represents a resounding rejection of the modern middle-class metropolitan-liberal Democrat ideologies. What is particularly stinging them is the Republican vote amongst BAME sections has increased and the female vote remained unscathed - meaning that voters soundly rejected the Democrat accusations of inherent Republican racism and misogyny and on racism and feminism. Voters have outright rejected the woke agenda, gender issues, critical race theory and all the other junk and bollocks they have been pushing for the last 4 years. Even among the Democrat faithful, these are not widely supported issues and it would be fair to say that a significant proportion of Democrats regard such stuff as nonsense and self-indulgent student politics - and you are not going to win an election if large numbers of your own voters thing you are talking shite.
The Democrats hamstrung themselves from Day 1. It was brutally apparent to the Democrat voters that Harris inherited the mantle from Biden by deliberately keeping Biden in place until it was too late to run a leadership contest (which Harris would have lost) and thus inheriting the crown by default - which many Democrat voters and power blocs - particularly the unions, regarded as a 'fix' by the party elite. Harris was also in the unenviable position that because she had been Biden's Vice, she could hardly now position herself away from his policies - policies that she had supported for the last 4 years.
The Democrats seemed surprised at the final results despite the fact that the weekly polling averages had indicated this for over 5 weeks (they - like many others, tended to cherry-pick polls favourable to themselves. That is the actions of a halfwit. You need to gather every poll released in a week or whatever period, no matter how weird, and average them). They actually have only themselves to blame. They fielded a highly inarticulate candidate who presented poorly at interview, who struggled from Day 1 to put together a coherent position on anything other than she wasn't Trump.
An interesting factoid is that in almost every state the Democrats won, there was no requirement for voter ID whereas in virtually every state the Republicans won, there was a requirement for either photo ID or some other acceptable form. The regulations concerning postal votes/early votes were also stricter in Republican-won states. Interestingly, the Democrat vote plummeted in their 'safe states' but held up relatively well in the others whereas what Trump appears to have done is concentrated his main effort in areas he could 'flip' in order to maximise the impact of the Republican vote. This is resurrecting and fuelling conspiracy theories that the 2020 election was rigged by the Democrats. This is being further re-inforced in that it appears the total number of registered voters has fallen, possibly because of the requirement in so many states for some form of ID to register.
One bizarre story I have read is that turnout amongst college-educated younger voters appears to have fallen caused by signature variation. To register to vote in the US you have to sign the Electoral Register and when you vote, you have to sign again and both signatures must match. The theory doing the rounds is that college-educated young Americans rarely write anymore - most of what they do is on computers, laptops etc etc and as a result, they are unable to reproduce their own signatures accurately if they are several years apart. It will be interesting to monitor this to see if it's true or an urban myth.
Finally a big 'hats off' to Atlas Intel - a major polling company who, for the third Presidential election running made the correct call, well inside the margin of error, at all levels.
