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19 May, 2025

PORTUGUESE GENERAL ELECTION - RESULT

Portugal held its third General Election in three years and ended up with basically the same result..  Like the UK, Germany, Ireland and others in recent years, it is waking up to the fact that if you want to change things, you have got to start voting differently.  Voting broadly the same way will only get you broadly the same result, and the utter bollocks will continue because the politicians will use that to 'justify' carrying on as before, irrespective of what you think.

To form a majority in the Portuguese legislative assembly, you need 116 seats - which means the easiest route to power for PSD is to go into coalition with the populist-nationalist CHEGA. In a UK comparison, that would be a Tory-Reform coalition..  However, PSD refuses point blank to work with CHEGA, which leaves it little option but to go into coalition with PS - the equivalent of a Tory-Labour coalition. But the problem here is that they are diametrically opposed on spending plans - very, very, very diametrically opposed.

The only real thing of note is the continued rise of CHEGA, reflecting the growth in populist-nationalist parties all over Europe.  The fear here for the EU is that voters who vote for these parties are more likely to vote in European elections than supporters of other parties because of their low turn-outs, 
(for example in UK before Brexit, during euro-elections, UKIP, BNP and the Brexit Party did far better than they fared in national elections) which is going to start to hiting the EU parliament at the next EU elections. I can't wait - this is going to be fun.

The outlook for Portugal is another inevitable collapse and another inevitable General Election .......and very very soon.





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